Israel and India should prioritise vigilance and deeper strategic coordination amid Turkey’s growing alignment with Pakistan, according to a report published in The Times of Israel.

Writing for the publication, Italian political advisor and geopolitical expert Sergio Restelli urged both Jerusalem and New Delhi to focus on quiet preventive measures rather than public confrontation. He emphasised the need for enhanced strategic dialogue with NATO partners, stronger non-proliferation mechanisms and robust regional diplomacy.

The report comes as Prime Minister Narendra Modi prepares for a visit to Israel, with Turkish-Pakistani dynamics and concerns over potential Turkish nuclear ambitions drawing attention.

Restelli referenced Michael Rubin, Director of Policy Analysis at the Middle East Forum and senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, who cautioned that India should not ignore the possibility of a future Turkish nuclear capability.

Although Turkey is a NATO member and a signatory to the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has previously questioned global nuclear asymmetry — remarks that have raised concerns among some security analysts.

For Israel, the report noted, the implications would be immediate and strategic. Israel maintains a policy of nuclear ambiguity and emphasises preserving qualitative military superiority in a volatile region. A potential Turkish nuclear capability, even if framed as defensive, could alter regional calculations, particularly given Ankara’s influence across the Levant and its fluctuating ties with Jerusalem.

India’s concerns, the report argued, stem from its complex security environment defined by nuclear-armed neighbours Pakistan and China. Ankara’s growing defence and diplomatic engagement with Islamabad has drawn scrutiny in New Delhi. A Turkish nuclear capability, especially if accompanied by expanded cooperation with Pakistan, could complicate India’s broader strategic calculus.

The report stressed that the central issue is not whether Turkey will imminently develop nuclear weapons, but whether the international community is prepared for the geopolitical repercussions if such a decision were ever made. A new nuclear-armed power positioned at the crossroads of Europe and the Middle East, it warned, could significantly strain the global non-proliferation framework.